Question

Will SpinLaunch lift a satellite to low Earth orbit by 2032?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction4% (1% - 12%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Authors:

rendall

Opened:

Aug 17, 2022

Closes:

Aug 14, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 14, 2032

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

rendall

Opened:

Aug 17, 2022

Closes:

Aug 14, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 14, 2032

This Company Wants to Build a Space Station That Has Artificial Gravity

Wired•Jan 22, 2025

New Glenn launch: Blue Origin's reusable rocket set for maiden flight

New Scientist•Jan 23, 2025

Y Combinator grad Spaceium raises oversubscribed $6.3M for space re-fueling

TechCrunch•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will an Adaptive Cycle Jet Engine be successfully used in the launch of a rocket to an altitude of at least 160 kilometers?

2034-07-19