Question

If the Australian "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" Referendum is held before 2026, will it pass?

Resolved :No

57 comments57

Total Forecasters92

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-3.2

Community Peer Score

21.2

median 1.0%mean 2.4%

Authors:

galen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Australia

Constitution of Australia

Australian Electoral Commission

Anthony Albanese

Referendums in Australia

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

42.4%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?

43.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

galen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Australia

Constitution of Australia

Australian Electoral Commission

Anthony Albanese

Referendums in Australia

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?

42.4%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?

43.2%