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How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?

6 forecasters

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Date	25th	median	75th
2030	0.181 ...	1.06 ...	4.32 ...
2040	0.1 ...	11.1 ...	44.2 ...
2050	0.1 ...	27.9 ...	272 ...
2060	0.1 ...	187 ...	619 ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

<0.1

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1k

...

20.4%

0.1815

1.065

4.324

0.3%

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Forecast Timeline

2060

2050

2040

2030

Authors:

Eristafuci

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Europe's €10.6B Iris² satellite network to rival Musk's Starlink megaconstellation

•Dec 17, 2024

Lumen Orbit Wants To Put Data Centers In Space

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?

414

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.53k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Eristafuci

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Europe's €10.6B Iris² satellite network to rival Musk's Starlink megaconstellation

•Dec 17, 2024

Lumen Orbit Wants To Put Data Centers In Space

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?

414

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

3.53k

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How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

Comments

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?

What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years?