Question
Question
What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022?
Resolved :5.67kTotal Forecasters36
Community Prediction5.91k
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My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50k
...
...
...
...
5.402k
5.908k
6.551k
0.6%
What was the final result?5.67k
Community Baseline Score
97.6
Community Peer Score
75.9
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What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
23.2k
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
9.3%
If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
1.09
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
23.2k
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
9.3%
If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
1.09