Question

What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022?

Resolved :5.67k5.91k

5 comments5

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction5.91k (5.4k - 6.55k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50k

...

5.402k

5.908k

6.551k

0.6%

What was the final result?5.67k

Community Baseline Score

97.6

Community Peer Score

75.9

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

California Department of Public Health

California declares state of emergency as H5N1 bird flu threatens pandemic... in chilling echo of Covid dark days

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

The bird flu outbreak keeps getting more worrying

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

Bird Flu Outbreak Map Shows States with Most Cases

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

California Department of Public Health

California declares state of emergency as H5N1 bird flu threatens pandemic... in chilling echo of Covid dark days

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

The bird flu outbreak keeps getting more worrying

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

Bird Flu Outbreak Map Shows States with Most Cases

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in California as of December 31, 2022?

Make a Prediction

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?