Question

What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022?

Resolved :4.19k4.4k

7 comments7

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction4.4k (4.01k - 4.86k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50k

...

4.01k

4.404k

4.865k

0.6%

What was the final result?4.19k

Community Baseline Score

120.9

Community Peer Score

30.0

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2003 Midwest monkeypox outbreak

New York State Department of Health

America's bird flu hotspots revealed as patient fights for their life in hospital... is killer virus in YOUR state?

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Covid Map Shows Latest Rates Across U.S. Before Christmas

Newsweek•Dec 22, 2024

Whooping cough cases reach highest level in a decade

NBC•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.8k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.11

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2003 Midwest monkeypox outbreak

New York State Department of Health

America's bird flu hotspots revealed as patient fights for their life in hospital... is killer virus in YOUR state?

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Covid Map Shows Latest Rates Across U.S. Before Christmas

Newsweek•Dec 22, 2024

Whooping cough cases reach highest level in a decade

NBC•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.8k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.11

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the total number of reported monkeypox cases in New York as of December 31, 2022?

Make a Prediction

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?