Question

Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023?

Resolved :No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

9.8

Community Peer Score

35.8

median 0.1%mean 1.1%

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Federal Bureau of Investigation

Portland, Oregon

National Incident-Based Reporting System

Portland Police Bureau

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

5.58

Comments

? comments

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Federal Bureau of Investigation

Portland, Oregon

National Incident-Based Reporting System

Portland Police Bureau

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

5.58