Question

Will King Charles III abdicate the throne of the United Kingdom before September 9, 2032?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction14%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 14%

median 14.0%mean 19.4%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Prince William, Duke of Cambridge

Catherine, Duchess of Cambridge

United Kingdom

Camilla, Duchess of Cornwall

Prince William wants to put a smaller 'r' in royal. Here's what that means.

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

King Charles marks 76th birthday at ‘surplus food festival’

CNN•Nov 14, 2024

King Charles turns 76 after year of little celebration

Raw Story•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

66%

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

53.5%

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

2.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Prince William, Duke of Cambridge

Catherine, Duchess of Cambridge

United Kingdom

Camilla, Duchess of Cornwall

Prince William wants to put a smaller 'r' in royal. Here's what that means.

NBC•Nov 13, 2024

King Charles marks 76th birthday at ‘surplus food festival’

CNN•Nov 14, 2024

King Charles turns 76 after year of little celebration

Raw Story•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

66%

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

53.5%

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

2.4%