Question

Will King Charles III abdicate the throne of the United Kingdom before September 9, 2032?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction12.4% (6% - 20.1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12.4%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Prince William, Duke of Cambridge

Catherine, Duchess of Cambridge

United Kingdom

Camilla, Duchess of Cornwall

King Charles has a long road to recovery ahead

Spectator (UK)•Dec 20, 2024

King Charles filled with Christmas cheer at festive Highgrove celebration — but says no to roast chestnuts: ‘Couldn’t eat another’

New York Post•Dec 15, 2024

Prince William and Kate Middleton begin preparing for king and queen roles ‘sooner than expected’: report

New York Post•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

66%

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

53.5%

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Prince William, Duke of Cambridge

Catherine, Duchess of Cambridge

United Kingdom

Camilla, Duchess of Cornwall

King Charles has a long road to recovery ahead

Spectator (UK)•Dec 20, 2024

King Charles filled with Christmas cheer at festive Highgrove celebration — but says no to roast chestnuts: ‘Couldn’t eat another’

New York Post•Dec 15, 2024

Prince William and Kate Middleton begin preparing for king and queen roles ‘sooner than expected’: report

New York Post•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

66%

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

53.5%

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Will King Charles III abdicate the throne of the United Kingdom before September 9, 2032?

Make a Prediction

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

Comments

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?