🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will UK GDP per capita be less than 50% of that of the world's leading major economy?

3
16
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction2032-09-20 (2030-02-25 - 2036-10-01)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2039-07-01
...
...
...
...
2030-02-25 21:16
2032-09-20 20:38
2036-10-01 21:38
17.9%
Authors:
Dumbledores_Army
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
List of countries by GDP (nominal) per capita
World Bank
United Kingdom
United States
Financial crisis of 2007–08
Brexit vote

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