🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Resolved :Yes99%
13
9
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction99% (75% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
11.2
Community Peer Score
2.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
reignoffire
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
AI Demonstrations
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Natural Sciences
Nobel Prize
Machine learning
Caspase 14
DeepMind

Comments

? comments