Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

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Question

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

9
10
Total Forecasters86
Community Prediction1% (0.2% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Conservative Party (UK)
United Kingdom
Keir Starmer
Liz Truss
Boris Johnson

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