Question

When will total worldwide nuclear disarmament occur?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction2201-01-14

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2222-12-31

...

2111-09-03 05:10

2201-01-14 21:36

>2222-12-31 00:00

43.6%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

List of states with nuclear weapons

Reykjavík Summit

Nuclear proliferation

Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

1.4%

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?

3.3k

Comments

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Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

List of states with nuclear weapons

Reykjavík Summit

Nuclear proliferation

Ukraine Could Build its Own Nuclear Bombs in Months: Report

Breitbart•Nov 14, 2024

Biden, Xi agree that humans, not AI, should control nuclear arms

CNBC•Nov 17, 2024

A Government for the World

CounterPunch•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the world be free from nuclear weapons at any point before 2075?

1.4%

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

How many nuclear weapons will exist on January 1, 2075?

3.3k