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What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years?

14 comments14

89 forecasters

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Year

resolution

Year

median

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Forecast Timeline

2122

2023

2025

2032

2052

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 2, 2123

Forecasting Our World in Data

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

International Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Trans and Intersex Association

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How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

1.07B

What will the world population be in the following years?

8.22B

What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years?

1.93

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 2, 2123

Forecasting Our World in Data

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

International Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Trans and Intersex Association

You Won't Believe How Many U.S. Adults Identify As LGBTQ+

Townhall•Feb 22, 2025

A New Poll Shows LGBT Identification In America Has Skyrocketed, but Are We Really Gayer Than Ever?

Red State•Feb 22, 2025

Poll: Nearly a Quarter of Gen Z Identifies as LGBTQ+

Breitbart•Feb 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

1.07B

What will the world population be in the following years?

8.22B

What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years?

1.93