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What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years?

14 comments14

89 forecasters

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median

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2122

2023

2025

2032

2052

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 2, 2123

Forecasting Our World in Data

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

International Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Trans and Intersex Association

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How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

1.07B

What will the world population be in the following years?

8.22B

What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years?

1.93

Comments

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 19, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2123

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 2, 2123

Forecasting Our World in Data

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

International Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Trans and Intersex Association

Marriage Is Evolving: Are You Keeping Up?

Psychology Today•Mar 3, 2025

In wartime, focus on ‘traditional values’ imperils Russia’s LGBTQ community

Al Jazeera•Mar 3, 2025

America is at a cultural crossroads and must choose between a pro-family or pro-'progress' agenda

FOX News•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

1.07B

What will the world population be in the following years?

8.22B

What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years?

1.93