Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will Kwasi Kwarteng no longer hold the office of UK chancellor of the Exchequer?

Resolved :Oct 14, 20222022-10-18
6
15
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction2022-10-18 (2022-10-11 - 2022-11-03)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2025-01-01
...
...
...
...
2022-10-11 05:27
2022-10-18 15:00
2022-11-03 11:54
4.4%

What was the final result?Oct 14, 2022

Community Baseline Score
0.7
Community Peer Score
0.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
nmzd
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Kwasi Kwarteng
Bank of England
Pound sterling
United Kingdom
Chancellor of the Exchequer
Liz Truss

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