Group
How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?
Make a Prediction
| Year | resolution | ||
|---|---|---|---|
9.58k | |||
| Year | 25th | median | 75th |
9.32k ... | 9.52k ... | 9.7k ... | |
9.14k ... | 10.1k ... | 11.3k ... | |
5.76k ... | 9.01k ... | 15.9k ... | |
233 ... | 1.63k ... | 10.1k ... | |
CDF
<7k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>11k
0.1%
9.402k
9.532k
9.662k
1.8%
What was the final result?9.58k
Community Baseline Score
99.7
Community Peer Score
29.8
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 12, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2123
Scheduled resolution:May 2, 2123
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Oct 12, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2123
Scheduled resolution:May 2, 2123
