Question

Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024?

Resolved :Yes

21 comments21

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-57.6

Community Peer Score

2.6

median 20.0%mean 23.1%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

Baltic Sea

Black Sea

Russo-Ukrainian War

Hainan Island incident

Poland

1988 Black Sea bumping incident

NATO

Belarus

Ukraine–NATO relations

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10%

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