Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

10
6
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction28.1% (20% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 28.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
nmzd
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Economy & Business
Big Three (credit rating agencies)
Credit rating
Fitch Ratings
Standard & Poor's
Moody's Investors Service
United Kingdom

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