Question

What fraction of Canadian parliaments to 2050 will lack any party majority?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction0.459 (0.368 - 0.583)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

0.368

0.4591

0.5833

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Dec 12, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2051

Elections

Canada

List of Canadian federal general elections

Hung parliament

Westminster system

Minority governments in Canada

Minority government

2019 Canadian federal election

How the Justin Trudeau era changed Canada

Al Jazeera•Jan 26, 2025

Reform is on the up – but it could easily come unstuck

Spectator (UK)•Jan 29, 2025

How Justin Trudeau Alienated Canada’s Working Class

Jacobin•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election?

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

55%

Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?

50%

Comments

? comments