Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What fraction of Canadian parliaments to 2050 will lack any party majority?

1
2
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction0.459 (0.368 - 0.583)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.368
0.4591
0.5833
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Canada
List of Canadian federal general elections
Hung parliament
Westminster system
Minority governments in Canada
Minority government
2019 Canadian federal election

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