Question

Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?

-5

20 comments20

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction50.4% (40% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50.4%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Amy Wax

University of Pennsylvania Law School

U.S. News & World Report

University of Michigan DEI administrator who was fired over alleged antisemitic comments plans to take legal action

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

‘Traded Ideas For Ideology’: Nearly 75% Of College Faculty Believe Academic Freedom Is In Danger

Daily Caller•Dec 13, 2024

Penn prof who celebrated murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO takes down her social media posts

American Thinker•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

50%

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

41.6%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Amy Wax

University of Pennsylvania Law School

U.S. News & World Report

University of Michigan DEI administrator who was fired over alleged antisemitic comments plans to take legal action

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

‘Traded Ideas For Ideology’: Nearly 75% Of College Faculty Believe Academic Freedom Is In Danger

Daily Caller•Dec 13, 2024

Penn prof who celebrated murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO takes down her social media posts

American Thinker•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

50%

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

41.6%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

75%