Question

Will Amy Wax no longer have tenure at a top-24 US university before 2026?

-5

20 comments20

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction47% (25% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 47%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Oct 23, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Amy Wax

University of Pennsylvania Law School

U.S. News & World Report

A New Bill Introduced In Kansas Would Strip Away Faculty Tenure Rights

Forbes•Feb 12, 2025

Illinois university sued after professor alleges he was fired for objecting to race-based hiring policies

New York Post•Feb 13, 2025

Crimson Tide: Only One-Third of Harvard Students Feel Comfortable Speaking About Controversial Subjects

Lew Rockwell•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

49.5%

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

55%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

76%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Oct 23, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Amy Wax

University of Pennsylvania Law School

U.S. News & World Report

A New Bill Introduced In Kansas Would Strip Away Faculty Tenure Rights

Forbes•Feb 12, 2025

Illinois university sued after professor alleges he was fired for objecting to race-based hiring policies

New York Post•Feb 13, 2025

Crimson Tide: Only One-Third of Harvard Students Feel Comfortable Speaking About Controversial Subjects

Lew Rockwell•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russell Rickford cease to be a faculty member of Cornell before 2030?

49.5%

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

55%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?

76%