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If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?
2
9 comments
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Total Forecasters
37
Community Prediction
43.7%
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50%
community: 43.7%
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Background Info
Histogram
median
43.7%
mean
44.4%
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Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
People's Liberation Army
China
American Institute in Taiwan
Taiwan–US relations
Republic of China Navy
Taiwan
United States
Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the United States
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Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
People's Liberation Army
China
American Institute in Taiwan
Taiwan–US relations
Republic of China Navy
Taiwan
United States
Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the United States
Submit Tags Feedback
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News Match
Trump said Taiwan should pay for US protection. Here's what a second Trump term could mean for the island.
Business Insider
•
Nov 11, 2024
Taiwan wants to buy F-35 fighter jets and Patriot missiles to show Trump it's serious: report
Business Insider
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Nov 11, 2024
Taiwan eyes $15B military package in signal to Trump administration it is ‘serious’ on defense: report
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Nov 12, 2024
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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