Question

Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction14%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 14%

median 14.0%mean 18.3%

Authors:

ajohnson

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

74.2k

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

23.2%

When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?

2043-02-21

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ajohnson

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Natural Sciences

2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

74.2k

Will there be an 8.0 magnitude or greater earthquake in the Pacific Northwest before 2034?

23.2%

When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?

2043-02-21