Question

Will there be a large-scale radioactive contamination of a German territory by 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%

3 comments3

Total Forecasters99

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

98.6

Community Peer Score

6.2

Authors:

tryingToPredictFuture

Opened:

Oct 8, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Computing and Math

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Russo-Ukrainian War

European Union

International Atomic Energy Agency

NATO

Germany

Ukraine–NATO relations

International Nuclear Event Scale

United States

Russia

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