🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What will the world population be in the following years?

14
10
111 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th

PDF

CDF

community
<7B
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>8.5B
0.1%
8.024B
8.053B
8.08B
0.1%

What was the final result?8.09B

Community Baseline Score
104.7
Community Peer Score
21.7

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting Our World in Data
Social Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Our World in Data

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