Question

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction11 (9.55 - 13.2)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50

...

9.547

13.21

0.1%

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Oct 23, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2028

Social Democrats (Denmark)

Australia women's national soccer team

U.S. Drops To No. 9 In World’s Most Powerful Passport Index

Forbes•Jan 22, 2025

Economic Map Shows Countries With Fast, Slow Growth Forecast for 2025

Newsweek•Jan 27, 2025

How Credit Rating Agencies Overplayed The Sovereign Credit Rating Card

Forbes•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

28.1%

Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?

33.3%

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

59.4%

Comments

? comments