Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

[All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions?

15
6
14 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Question Setresolution
community
<5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>200
0.1%
41.73
58.99
86.98
5.9%

What was the final result?39

Community Baseline Score
33.6
Community Peer Score
20.7
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Metaculus
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Our World in Data

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