Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many Falcon 9 failures will there be before 2026?

6
6
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction1.03 (0.0833 - 2.02)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5
...
...
...
...
0.08331
1.03
2.015
1.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
evanbd
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
2021-2025 Leaderboard
SpaceX reusable launch system
Starlink
International Space Station
Falcon 9
SpaceX

Comments

? comments