M

Question

How many Falcon 9 failures will there be before 2026?

Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction1.03 (0.966 - 1.97)

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CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5
...
...
...
...
0.9663
1.034
1.972
0.3%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026

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