Question
How many Falcon 9 failures will there be before 2026?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction1.5 (0.972 - 2.45)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.9717 | — |
| median | 1.495 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.452 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5 | 0.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Oct 24, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
