Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Group

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years?

10
16
109 forecasters

Make a Prediction

YearMe
2023
no
2022
no
2024
1%
Resolved Dec 31, 2023
Community Baseline Score
82.0
Community Peer Score
7.6
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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