Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed by the Senate before November 6, 2018?

Resolved :Yes70%
5
15
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction70% (63% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
48.2
Community Peer Score
11.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
chipman
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
Supreme Court of the US
Brett Kavanaugh
Anthony Kennedy
Donald Trump
US Senate

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