Question

Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed by the Senate before November 6, 2018?

Resolved :Yes

15 comments15

Total Forecasters75

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

48.2

Community Peer Score

11.6

median 70.0%mean 68.1%

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Supreme Court of the US

Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?

10%

In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?

2025-09-09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

Supreme Court of the US

Liberals pressure Senate Democrats to confirm more Biden judges while they can

Associated Press•Nov 14, 2024

Senate Dems race to confirm Biden judges ahead of Trump's presidency

FOX News•Nov 15, 2024

Ask Jordan: Could Justice Sotomayor be replaced before Trump takes office?

MSNBC•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?

10%

In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?

2025-09-09