Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US provide Ukraine with any fighter aircraft?

Resolved :Above upper bound2024-01-01
7
4
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction2024-01-01 (2024-01-01 - 2024-01-01)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
...
>2024-01-01 00:00
>2024-01-01 00:00
>2024-01-01 00:00
88.9%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
122.3
Community Peer Score
25.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
US Department of State
Military science
Volodymyr Zelensky
Frank Kendall III
John Kirby (admiral)
United States
Fighter aircraft
Aerospace engineering
Ukraine

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