M

Question

Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula?

Resolved :Above upper bound2024-01-01
10
10
Total Forecasters146
Community Prediction2024-01-01 (2024-01-01 - 2024-01-01)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
...
>2024-01-01 00:00
>2024-01-01 00:00
>2024-01-01 00:00
95.4%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
125.5
Community Peer Score
40.7
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Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
2014 Crimean status referendum
Sevastopol
Russo-Ukrainian War
Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation
Ukraine
Crimea
Russia

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