Question

Will the 2020 Democratic Nominee be either Kamala Harris or Bernie Sanders?

Resolved :No

101 comments101

Total Forecasters247

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

48.1

Community Peer Score

13.7

median 52.0%mean 53.1%

Authors:

chipman

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Democratic Party (US)

John Delaney 2020 presidential campaign

'What does the Democratic Party stand for?' Sanders doubles down on criticism after Harris loss

USA Today•Nov 11, 2024

Here are the Democrats who may eventually run for president in 2028

FOX News•Nov 11, 2024

Ready for 2028? Democratic hopefuls are secretly trying to build momentum as party looks to rebound

Independent•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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2.5%

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80%

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