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Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?
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Total Forecasters 102
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| UA Control in Crimea | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
< 50 km^2 | no | |||
> 50 km^2 | ambiguous | |||
Resolved Jan 1, 2024
Community Baseline Score
96.9
Community Peer Score
2.9
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