Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024?

9
8
87 forecasters

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Strike >10km in Russian TerritoryMe
Ukraine does not strike
ambiguous
Ukraine strikes
no
Resolved Dec 6, 2022
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Armed Forces of Ukraine
Russo-Ukrainian War
Ukraine
Russian Armed Forces
Crimea
Russia
Institute for the Study of War
Donetsk Republic
Luhansk People's Republic

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