🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Christmas Day 2018?

Resolved :No15%
15
4
Total Forecasters153
Community Prediction15% (5% - 27%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
74.9
Community Peer Score
23.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
chipman
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
Jared Kushner
2016 US presidential election
Special Counsel investigation (2017–2019)
Federal Bureau of Investigation
Michael Flynn
Donald Trump Jr.
George Papadopoulos
Maria Butina
National Rifle Association

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