Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?

Resolved :Above upper bound2021-04-09
13
13
Total Forecasters59
Community Prediction2021-04-09 (2020-09-01 - 2021-12-24)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2021-12-29
...
...
...
...
2020-09-01 16:13
2021-04-09 06:27
2021-12-24 20:34
24.7%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
29.7
Community Peer Score
86.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Chymera
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Sports & Entertainment
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Amazon (company)
A Song of Ice and Fire
The Winds of Winter
George R. R. Martin
Game of Thrones

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