Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will there be a "no-deal" Brexit?

Resolved :No40%
15
25
Total Forecasters142
Community Prediction40% (28% - 49%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
35.8
Community Peer Score
7.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
aran
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
No-deal Brexit
European Union
Brexit
UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU
United Kingdom

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