M

Question

Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024?

Resolved :No
27
36
Total Forecasters166
Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
94.7
Community Peer Score
7.3
median 0.1%mean 0.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
xfoyuo
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
Military science
Risk management
Security
Dirty bomb
International Atomic Energy Agency
Ukraine
Russia

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