Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years?

10
16
110 forecasters

Make a Prediction

YearMe
2022
no
2023
no
2024
1%
Resolved Dec 31, 2022
Community Baseline Score
96.8
Community Peer Score
10.3
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 21
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

Comments

? comments