Question
Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?
Total Forecasters164
Community Prediction3.48×10⁻⁴ (1.08×10⁻⁸ - 0.0571)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1×10⁻²⁰ | 4.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.083×10⁻⁸ | — |
| median | 3.481×10⁻⁴ | — |
| upper 75% | 0.05711 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 24, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 24, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
