Question
Drake's Equation 7th parameter L: For how many years does a civilization remain detectable?
Total Forecasters162
Community Prediction
23.8k
(524 - 11.2M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<10 | 6.7% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 524.5 | — |
median | 23.8k | — |
upper 75% | 11.23M | — |
Upper bound | ||
>10B | 14.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Sep 5, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2018
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 5, 2018
Closes:Sep 7, 2118
Scheduled resolution:Sep 7, 2118
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2018