Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will Meta’s yearly spending on Reality Labs be?

9
17
12 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100B
5.6%
6.593B
11B
16.57B
0.3%

What was the final result?16.1B

Community Baseline Score
71.0
Community Peer Score
27.3
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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