Group

What will Meta’s yearly spending on Reality Labs be?

12 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Year	resolution
2023	16.1B
Year	25th	median	75th
2025	9.14B ...	14.6B ...	21.9B ...
2030	10.8B ...	16.7B ...	27.9B ...

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100B

5.6%

6.593B

11B

16.57B

0.3%

What was the final result?16.1B

Community Baseline Score

71.0

Community Peer Score

27.3

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 11

2030

2025

2023

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Technology

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Instagram

Reality Lab

Facebook Messenger

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%

What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years?

550B

Will Mark Zuckerberg remain as CEO of Meta Platforms until October 21, 2031?

55.8%

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