Question

Will the next "Great Power" war be a nuclear war?

Resolved :Annulled

1 comment1

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction23%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 23%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

median 23.0%mean 29.4%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Military science

China

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

Mutual assured destruction

France

When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

2042-03-17

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

27%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Military science

China

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

Mutual assured destruction

France

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When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

2042-03-17

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

27%