Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Before 2023, will FTX.US default or suspend payment to at least one FTX.US user?

Resolved :Yes99%
9
12
Total Forecasters67
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
4.7
Community Peer Score
0.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlexL
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
Cryptocurrencies
2022 Leaderboard
FTX

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