Question

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2026?

90 comments90

Total Forecasters101

Community Prediction300 (294 - 304)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>360

...

0.4%

294.4

299.7

304.1

3.4%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Politics

Cryptocurrencies

2021-2025 Leaderboard

FTX

Federal Trade Commission

FTX executives shave time off their sentences

CNN•Dec 26, 2024

Former FTX executive Ryan Salame has prison release date moved up by more than a year

Business Insider•Dec 26, 2024

FTX Execs Ellison and Salame Get Prison Time Shortened

•Dec 27, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

300

Will Sam Bankman-Fried be one of the 100 wealthiest people in the world in 2030?

0.1%

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

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