Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Elon Musk be sanctioned for Tesla buyout tweet?

Resolved :Yes30%
20
36
Total Forecasters117
Community Prediction30% (15% - 34%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-66.9
Community Peer Score
41.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
traviswfisher
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Economy & Business
Technology
2018 Leaderboard
Market manipulation
US dollar
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
Tesla
Elon Musk
SEC

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