Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks?

1
33
28 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Week Ending onresolution
community
<20
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5k
0.1%
339.6
530.4
772.8
0.3%

What was the final result?821

Community Baseline Score
35.2
Community Peer Score
10.3
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 5
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
FluSight Challenge 2022/23
Health & Pandemics
2023 Leaderboard
2022 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Public health
Arizona
Medicine
Influenza
Virology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology

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