Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?

Resolved :No1%
7
7
Total Forecasters74
Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
79.6
Community Peer Score
22.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
IARPA Question Bot
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
2018 Leaderboard
Treaty of Lisbon
European Union
Accession of Turkey to the EU
UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU
United Kingdom
Theresa May

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